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Mobile Wars Episode IV: A New Hope

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Just as the George Lucas sci-fi classic ran for years and years - such is the space for mobile devices - and the Mobile War that will undoubtedly erupt over the coming years I'm sure that the "Empire (may well try to) Strike Back" however with the latest glut of new touch phones arriving on the scene such as the Samsung Omnia which although has "elements" of touch, the overall user experience has been severely let down by Windows Mobile 6.1 - and really should not be allowed within a touch phone environment. so much so that you either need to carry the stylus around with you or use the rather wonderful "mouse" feature on the phone. Either way a poor mans excuse for a touch application. Samsung do try and have a great entry screen into their available features and functions but once you go through the magic door of Incantations... well that's really the end of that - you no longer have the will or the impetus to carry on.

No I have been a big fan of both Apple and Google and what they are trying to do within this space in terms of delivering a great experience to the user. The iPhone still is the best phone on the planet. Yes it may have some little foibles that to some will mean that it does not live up to the hype that people like me and others have been lauding over the iPhone since launch. Google have delivered their app on what has to be described as an ugly phone - but that's not the key here - I have never really like the designs from HTC and the G1 is certainly not the sleek sexy beast that we had hope would arrive - but maybe that is the key here...

Lets us think ahead somewhat and see what the Mobile War will take on...

Both Apple and Google have run with their mobile operators to get their products out to market. Apple have already launched their 2nd version of the iPhone with some initial tweaks and some very obvious omissions (such as front facing camera, Intel Atom chip..) and Google is still shiny and new and will no doubt be looking at what they deliver in their next handset in 2009.

So lets say that I am running Apple or Google's mobile arm of their business (what a lovely thought!!)  What are the key elements that I want to achieve?

Well a great platform that means that I can attract the most avid and creative developers to design, create and upload their work to my platform. They get recognition and $$$ in return for their applications selling and my store and customers get some of the most innovative applications on their device.

I create a handset that is as desirable as any iconic device out there - I make it such a must have device that from kids to the older generation must be seen with one. (At this stage and I'm Google I would have engaged some of the designers that were behind the iPod / iPhone and any other iconic piece of CE over the last few years and be busy working away on Google's own device)

I want to get people using my device and understanding all the possibilities (as well as limitations) to what it can do for my users and keep pushing the boundaries of innovation...

But then perhaps I no longer need or want to have the mobile carrier as my main connectivity for the device. I may decide that that the best move is to be part of a VoIP mobile client that I can then start to run and support my users data, media, and voice calls over the VoIP network. This could also mean that I leverage my advertising platform effectively giving the consumer free calls with their mobile handset for the sake of some ad messages, that would be delivered via video, text, mms or voice. There are so many ways to start moving the advent of free into mobile phones that it becomes almost too easy - consider some LBS (location based service) target advertising where the user may be using, or just used some data on a VoIP and LBS knows where you are as well as the NFC within the device knows that you have just exited Oxford Street tube station and you are directly outside the Nike store - a powerful message for Nike could be that that a targeted message / promotion / coupon / NFC discount where the user only needs to turn around to enter the store...

So why does Apple and Google need to have a deal with a mobile network anyway? Well using Wi-Max as the vehicle for VoIP delivery on a mass scale - but this will never reach the level of penetration that the mass market needs - so there will be a role reversal in that the mobile providers will become the fail-over when the VoIP fails and this, depending on the location and tariff, will depend on the users usage and location on what price plan they would need to sign up with the mobile operator - so get tied in with an operator just now and maybe even one that has a great wi-fi business just now (such as T-Mobile) so that the jump to VoIP is a seamless transition...

So while we have now arrived in a brave new mobile world - this is only the beginning and will see what comes from the giant that is Nokia (they are a mobile manufacturer first and foremost - lets not worry about Comes with very little) and what Microsoft will do about their mobile platform surely it's got to get better...

Let the battle commence...

Mobile Stormtrooper

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Charlie Maitland said:

<disclaimer>I work for a subsidiary of Vodafone but I DONT sell phones!</disclaimer>

A succinct analysis but there is a major player that you have omitted from your analysis and that is Blackberry. As we all know there is a huge audience of mobile users who would only be separated from their Blackberry  when it is prised from their dying hands. Just take a look at the users on a major commuting train into London.

Excluding these devices from a competitive landscape may be keeping up with the trends but is excluding a whole swath of corporate users.

The fact that Blackberry are keeping up with the new touch screen mentality (Storm) shows that they are the third front in the "war"

Charlie  

November 10, 2008 19:49
 

Derek.Dunlop said:

hi Charlie

Thanks for the reply! I excluded the Blackberry from this piece at this stage due to the nature and type of device it is. I think RIM are doing a great job in the business world and Im very keen to see how well the Storm will do. I can see some hardcore blackberry users not to happy about a "gimicky" touch phone - as well as being able to add applications, even business ones will be a real challenge.

I seem to remember in the beginnings of mobile the business phone never crossed into the main mass market - and although I agree with your wonderful analogy regarding prising from their cold dead hands - however can it compete in the longer term in the mass market arena? Unless RIM will open up to developers to keep delivering the tools and applications to the end user, rather than a new product every few months, then Blackberry will be confined to the core business users.

However I'm keeping an open mind and am keen to put the Storm through it's paces and see where RIM could take Blackberry next!

November 10, 2008 20:24
 

Charlie Maitland said:

I understand that Blackberry’s position in this market is undefined. However, I think this throws up a new aspect to the discussion.

As you rightly point out Blackberry’s are a different type of device and are firmly embedded in the business space. You then mention its ability to compete in the “mass market arena”. This discussion can also be framed as the ability of Apple and Google to compete in the “Enterprise market”. Apple have moved in this direction with their limited Exchange connector and Microsoft are trying to straddle both camps, with limited success, as you point out in your views on Mobile 6.1.

I think the mobile applications aspect you mention is key. There is a core cultural clash here between the need for corporate control for security and compliance and the “perceived” wild west of the Apple/Google solutions. I have also encountered significant disquiet amongst compliance officers and IT directors at the fact that Apple have a “Kill Switch” embedded in the OS. It seems to me that Microsoft is trying to play the middle ground, enabling consumer devices whilst leveraging their enterprise offerings to offer corporate lock down.

To continue your “Mobile Wars” theme are we actually looking at a battlefield that resembles the battle of balaclava where different but aligned parties are holding high ground whilst others are trying to take them and if so whose Light Brigade is about to charge?

Charlie

November 10, 2008 22:09
 

Derek.Dunlop said:

great feedback Charlie, thanks again.

Totally agree there is this great divide within Corporate / Enterprise companies - and like yourself have heard from IT Directors and CTOs that Apple & Google are seen as "cool kids toys" not for corporate consumption!!

Apple tried to address this as you pointed out with their 1 Exchange licence per device and even then to the disdain of the said IT Directors - nevermind adding Macs to a Corporate Network. However more and more business seem to have iPhones within their business and at what cost to the Blackberry market? Probably not the traditional but more younger dynamic who like to have "gadgets" compared to a very successful and superb Blackberry.

As you also point out there is some changing sides testing the water on each side while Apple start to put out ads for Macs as a business computer - Blackberry goes for the "Blackberry for all the family" campaign that will only be enhanced by the forthcoming Storm (and having British hero Lewis Hamilton as a figure head)

But the applications and usefulness as well as security will be the key here - if Blackberry can succeed in delivering a controled deployment of updated apps that will enhance the business users productivity as well as delivering some creative and intuitive apps that take advantage of LBS and NFC then indeed RIM will be onto an exciting path.

I have avoided Windows so far as we both agree they are attempting to straddle both the consumer and business owner and in fact letting both down. Windows Mobile prides itself in being handset agnostic to the point that they don't care where their OS lives (Nokia, LG, Sony and even my ill-fated Samsung Omnia) as long as they recieve their Windows licence and complied with corporate exchange, they will leave others to develop a simple cover over the top but the UI is still underneath and just not practical.

So indeed the battle lines are drawn and keen to try the storm and also find out from RIM what their thoughts are around application development as well as preparing for a mobile VoIP future that they could begin before Google and Apple are allowed out of their contracts with mobile providers.

Very exciting times indeed!

Derek  

November 10, 2008 22:45

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About Derek.Dunlop

Somewhere in the wireless ether - digitally connected and running on duracell while hopping from one airport to another- life on the road - forever on tour...

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